Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.