SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Lugano | 36 | -1 | 57 |
| 5 | St Gallen | 35 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | Servette | 35 | -16 | 43 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sion | 35 | -21 | 40 |
| 9 | Luzern | 35 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Lausanne Sport | 36 | -37 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Lausanne Sport win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
59.45% ( -3) | 20.42% ( 0.93) | 20.12% ( 2.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.77% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.13% ( -1.16) | 35.87% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.05% ( -1.29) | 57.96% ( 1.29) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( -1.14) | 11.83% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.93% ( -2.49) | 37.07% ( 2.5) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 1.37) | 31.08% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 1.57) | 67.4% ( -1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.29)1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.35)4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.43)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.26)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.5% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.67% Total : 20.12% |
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