SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 9 | Grasshopper Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lugano | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 9 | Grasshopper Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lugano | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grasshopper Zurich win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grasshopper Zurich in this match.
| Result | ||
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
46.73% ( 0.02) | 23.94% ( -0.21) | 29.33% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.86% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% ( 1.06) | 43.1% ( -1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.5% ( 1.04) | 65.5% ( -1.04) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.43) | 18.62% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.07% ( 0.71) | 49.92% ( -0.71) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 0.67) | 27.67% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% ( 0.85) | 63.22% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.42% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.33% |
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