Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luzern | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
68.3% ( -0.25) | 17.91% ( 0.06) | 13.79% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.11% ( 0.12) | 35.88% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.03% ( 0.13) | 57.97% ( -0.14) |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.41% ( -0.03) | 9.58% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.94% ( -0.06) | 32.05% ( 0.06) |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% ( 0.34) | 38.38% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.87% ( 0.32) | 75.13% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Luzern | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.32% Total : 68.3% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.91% | 1-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 13.79% |
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