SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
50.39% ( 0.02) | 24.22% ( 0.08) | 25.39% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( -0.45) | 47.14% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.42) | 69.37% ( 0.41) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( -0.17) | 18.74% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.88% ( -0.27) | 50.12% ( 0.27) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -0.33) | 32.72% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( -0.36) | 69.27% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.38% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.39% |
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