SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
34.3% ( 1.27) | 25.16% ( 0.21) | 40.53% ( -1.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( -0.66) | 46.72% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( -0.63) | 68.98% ( 0.62) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( 0.45) | 26.29% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( 0.6) | 61.41% ( -0.61) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -1.02) | 22.91% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( -1.51) | 56.67% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.53% |
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