Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Servette had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
