Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
