SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
53.2% ( 0.28) | 22.92% ( 0.05) | 23.87% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( -0.57) | 42.82% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% ( -0.57) | 65.22% ( 0.57) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.11) | 16.09% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.2) | 45.48% ( 0.2) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -0.59) | 31.65% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% ( -0.68) | 68.06% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 23.87% |
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