SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
46.23% ( -0.01) | 23.61% ( -0) | 30.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( 0.01) | 41.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( 0.01) | 63.5% ( -0.01) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( 0) | 18.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% | 48.93% ( 0) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( 0.02) | 26.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( 0.02) | 61.19% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.16% |
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