Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.