Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.