Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
