Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Servette had a probability of 37.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.