Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Servette had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Gallen in this match.