Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
