Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.