SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Gallen in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
47.26% ( 0.04) | 23.31% ( 0) | 29.42% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% ( -0.05) | 40.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.51% ( -0.05) | 62.49% ( 0.05) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( -0.01) | 17.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.42% ( -0.01) | 47.57% ( 0.01) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -0.05) | 26.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( -0.07) | 61.17% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 4.03% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.42% |
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