Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
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