SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
42.96% ( -0.04) | 25.62% ( -0.06) | 31.42% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.28) | 49.53% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( 0.25) | 71.56% ( -0.25) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( 0.1) | 22.95% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.28% ( 0.15) | 56.73% ( -0.15) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 0.2) | 29.49% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( 0.25) | 65.5% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.42% |
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