SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
42.08% ( 0) | 24% ( 0.04) | 33.92% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( -0.19) | 41.4% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( -0.19) | 63.8% ( 0.19) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( -0.08) | 19.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.96% ( -0.12) | 52.04% ( 0.12) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.11) | 24% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( -0.16) | 58.25% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.92% |
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