Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.
