Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
34.53% (![]() | 25.59% (![]() | 39.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.41% (![]() | 48.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% (![]() | 70.7% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% (![]() | 27.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% (![]() | 62.41% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% (![]() | 24.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.65% (![]() | 58.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 8.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 12.12% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.27% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: