Buoyed by their victory over Benfica, Chaves will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to rekindle their race for a spot in Europe. We are backing the Flavienses to pick up from where they dropped off last time out and see off a Santa Clara side whose current form is nothing to write home about.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.38) 
