Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chaves.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
44.91% (![]() | 26.15% (![]() | 28.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.22% (![]() | 52.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% (![]() | 74.41% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% (![]() | 23.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.58% (![]() | 57.42% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% (![]() | 32.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% (![]() | 69.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.19% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.91% | 1-1 @ 12.43% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.57% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.94% |
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