Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feirense win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Leixoes had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Leixoes win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feirense would win this match.