Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
-0.78) 
1.32) 
