SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Feirense had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Feirense win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Feirense |
52.17% ( -0.33) | 26.17% ( 0.45) | 21.66% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.05% ( -1.67) | 57.95% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.35% ( -1.34) | 78.65% ( 1.34) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -0.83) | 22.33% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.19% ( -1.27) | 55.8% ( 1.27) |
| Feirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.82% ( -1.08) | 42.18% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.41% ( -0.95) | 78.59% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Feirense |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.17% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.1% Total : 21.66% |
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