Penafiel
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Tavares (31'), Vaz (58'), Teixeira (80'), Rodrigo (86'), Pedro (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tomas (16')
Tabata (20'), Neto (35'), (74')
Tabata (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Penafiel and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Penafiel win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Penafiel	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
18.07%	21.99%	59.94%

Both teams to score 51.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8%

46.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5%

68.5%

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.71%

39.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24%

75.99%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85%

15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.54%

43.46%

Score Analysis

Penafiel 18.07%

Sporting Lisbon 59.94%

Draw 21.98%

Penafiel	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.51% 2-1 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.07%	1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 11.18% 0-2 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-4 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.93% 2-4 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.94%