Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 5.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.51%) and 1-0 (11.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.