SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.82%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Academico de Viseu had a probability of 3.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.15%), while for an Academico de Viseu win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Academico de Viseu |
87.82% ( 0.75) | 8.72% ( -0.39) | 3.46% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 39.56% ( -1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.59% ( -0.23) | 28.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.74% ( -0.29) | 49.26% ( 0.29) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.82% ( 0.08) | 4.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.55% ( 0.27) | 17.45% ( -0.27) |
| Academico de Viseu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.28% ( -1.98) | 58.72% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.02% ( -1.09) | 89.98% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Academico de Viseu |
| 3-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.4)1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.18)6-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.18)7-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.13)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.77% Total : 87.81% | 1-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.37% Total : 8.72% | 0-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.05% Total : 3.46% |
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