Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academico de Viseu win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Beira-Mar had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academico de Viseu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Beira-Mar win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Academico de Viseu would win this match.
1.04) 
-0.03) 
