Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Arouca |
75.2% (![]() | 15.84% (![]() | 8.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% (![]() | 39.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.79% (![]() | 62.21% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.01% (![]() | 8.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.36% (![]() | 30.64% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.47% (![]() | 49.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.67% (![]() | 84.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 12.91% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.37% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.72% Total : 75.18% | 1-1 @ 7.54% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.84% | 0-1 @ 3.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 8.96% |
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