SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Academico de Viseu had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Academico de Viseu win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Academico de Viseu | Draw | Tondela |
31.54% ( -0.14) | 25.47% ( 0.11) | 42.99% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( -0.51) | 48.84% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.06% ( -0.46) | 70.94% ( 0.46) |
| Academico de Viseu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -0.35) | 29.06% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% ( -0.43) | 64.97% ( 0.43) |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.2) | 22.64% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( -0.3) | 56.26% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Academico de Viseu | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.54% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.99% |
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