SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
11.17% ( -0.97) | 20.44% ( -0.93) | 68.38% ( 1.9) |
| Both teams to score 39.59% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.8% ( 1.32) | 53.2% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.23% ( 1.11) | 74.76% ( -1.11) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.36% ( -0.93) | 53.63% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.95% ( -0.59) | 87.04% ( 0.58) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.38% ( 1.04) | 14.61% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.28% ( 1.97) | 42.71% ( -1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.17% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 15.07% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 14.49% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 9.29% ( 0.52)1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.4)1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.21)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.37% |
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