While Casa Pia have put together a fine run of form in the league, next up is the stern challenge of taking on a rampant Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing Conceicao's side to claim a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Porto
11.17% ( -0.97)	20.44% ( -0.93)	68.38% ( 1.9)

Both teams to score 39.59% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.8% (

1.32)

53.2% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.23% (

1.11)

74.76% (

-1.11)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.36% (

-0.93)

53.63% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.95% (

-0.59)

87.04% (

0.58)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.38% (

1.04)

14.61% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.28% (

1.97)

42.71% (

-1.97)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 11.17%

Porto 68.37%

Draw 20.44%

Casa Pia	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.17%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.44%	0-1 @ 15.07% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 14.49% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 9.29% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.21) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.37%