Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Trofense had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Trofense win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
2.25) 
-2.96) 
