SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
75.4% ( 0.15) | 15.9% ( -0.08) | 8.7% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% ( 0.21) | 41.05% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% ( 0.21) | 63.44% ( -0.2) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.77% ( 0.09) | 9.23% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.77% ( 0.21) | 31.23% ( -0.2) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.07% ( 0.01) | 50.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.71% ( 0.01) | 85.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.39% | 1-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.9% | 0-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.7% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
