Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 85.64%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for 1e Dezembro had a probability of 3.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.86%) and 0-1 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.9%), while for a 1e Dezembro win it was 1-0 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.32) 
