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M
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 14, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
B

Moreirense
1 - 1
Benfica

Yan (40' pen.)
Ba (58'), Pacheco (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Seferovic (25')
Grimaldo (38'), Weigl (65'), Otamendi (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.44%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawBenfica
12.65%20.73%66.62%
Both teams to score 43.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97%51.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1%72.89%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.29%49.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54%84.45%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53%14.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.57%42.43%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 12.65%
    Benfica 66.62%
    Draw 20.73%
MoreirenseDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.03%
2-1 @ 3.4%
2-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 12.65%
1-1 @ 9.72%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 3.28%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 20.73%
0-1 @ 13.9%
0-2 @ 13.44%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-3 @ 8.66%
1-3 @ 6.06%
0-4 @ 4.19%
1-4 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-5 @ 1.62%
1-5 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 66.62%

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