Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.44%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
