Benfica
1 - 1
Arsenal

Pizzi (55' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Saka (57')

Build‑up

Keown admits reservations over Odegaard role

Mikel Arteta vows to "protect" Bukayo Saka

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Arsenal
49.95%	24.7%	25.35%

Both teams to score 53.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.79%

49.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.73%

71.27%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28%

19.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27%

51.73%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13%

33.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46%

70.54%

Score Analysis

Benfica 49.95%

Arsenal 25.35%

Draw 24.69%

Benfica	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.95%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.23% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.35%