Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
