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Thursday, March 28
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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Mar 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio da Luz
RA

Benfica
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Seferovic (59'), Pizzi (78')
Silva (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
BenficaDrawRio Ave
66.62%20.12%13.25%
Both teams to score 46.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74%47.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51%69.49%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72%13.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.9%40.09%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.6%46.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97%82.02%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 66.61%
    Rio Ave 13.25%
    Draw 20.12%
BenficaDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 12.55%
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 6.49%
4-0 @ 4.27%
4-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.49%
5-0 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 66.61%
1-1 @ 9.55%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.12%
0-1 @ 4.73%
1-2 @ 3.67%
0-2 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 0.95%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.25%

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