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Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Jan 11, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
SL

Leca
0 - 4
Sporting Lisbon


Neves (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tabata (12', 80'), Nunes (31'), Santos (90+2')
Santos (62'), Feddal (64'), Tabata (73'), Neto (76')

We said: Leca 0-4 Sporting Lisbon

Leca have thrilled the fans with their incredible cup campaign and will be delighted to be at this stage of the competition. However, we predict their run will come to an end on Tuesday as they take on a significantly stronger Sporting Lisbon side, boasting more experience and a clearly superior crop of players in their arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Leca had a probability of 8.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.89%) and 0-3 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Leca win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
LecaDrawSporting Lisbon
8.57%16.19%75.25%
Both teams to score 42.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13%42.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72%65.28%
Leca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.55%52.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.7%86.29%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27%9.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.6%32.4%
Score Analysis
    Leca 8.57%
    Sporting Lisbon 75.24%
    Draw 16.19%
LecaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.29%
2-1 @ 2.48%
2-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.57%
1-1 @ 7.67%
0-0 @ 5.1%
2-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 16.19%
0-2 @ 13.85%
0-1 @ 11.89%
0-3 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 8.94%
1-3 @ 6.94%
0-4 @ 6.27%
1-4 @ 4.05%
0-5 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-5 @ 1.89%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-6 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 75.24%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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