SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 23.17% | 24.47% | 52.36% |
| Both teams to score 51.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% | 50.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% | 72.13% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.9% | 73.1% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% | 19.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.24% | 50.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 7.04% 2-1 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.17% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.36% |
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