Portimonense will look to end their two-game losing streak and progress into the cup semi-finals for just the fourth time in their history and a first since 1988. However, they face the stern test of taking on a defensively solid Mafra side who have conceded just six goals in their last seven games. While the visitors are capable of causing an upset, we are backing Portimonense to come away with the win in normal time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
