Portimonense have enjoyed a decent season so far, and despite their defeat against a significantly stronger Porto side, they head into the game as the more in-form side. We predict they will return to winning ways as they face a floundering Moreirense side, who are yet to hit their stride so far.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.
