Tondela will look to make up for their somewhat disappointing league campaign by keeping their cup run alive. However, standing in their way is a Rio Ave side who will be fresh and ready to go following their two-week absence from action. Tondela have struggled on the road this season, picking up just two wins from their nine away games in all competitions. We are backing Rio Ave to stun the visitors and claim a narrow win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 52%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%).
