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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
RA

Nacional
1 - 2
Rio Ave

Eduardo Teodora da Silva (11')
Azouni (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aderlan (51'), Mane (90+4')
Augusto (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRio Ave
28.59%26.92%44.49%
Both teams to score 48.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1%55.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99%77.01%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16%34.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43%71.57%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75%25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35%59.65%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 28.59%
    Rio Ave 44.49%
    Draw 26.92%
NacionalDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 12.07%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 8.37%
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.49%

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