Tondela
0 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Barbosa (83'), Alves (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Denilson (81' pen.)
Antunes (43'), Santos (60'), Fonseca (87'), Pires (90')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Tondela 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira

With just two points between the sides on the log, we expect a cagey and fiercely-contested affair on Saturday. However, we predict the spoils will be shared as both sides are evenly matched on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
37.18%	27.73%	35.1%

Both teams to score 48.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75%

57.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9%

78.1%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36%

29.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32%

65.68%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06%

30.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77%

67.23%

Score Analysis

Tondela 37.17%

Pacos de Ferreira 35.09%

Draw 27.73%

Tondela	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.17%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.09%