Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Sanjoanense had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Sanjoanense win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
0.19) 
-0.2) 
