Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | SC Farense |
46.56% (![]() | 23.87% (![]() | 29.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.38% (![]() | 42.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.97% (![]() | 65.03% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% (![]() | 18.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% (![]() | 49.73% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% (![]() | 27.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.29% (![]() | 62.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.33% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 11.06% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.57% |
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